I.1. China and India

The following Figure 53 shows on the same map of the present CO2 power or industrial sources, and suitability areas. A simple qualitative source / sink matching indicates areas for these two countries where projects should be launched not later than 2012 in order to reach bankability between 2020 and 2022.

23 candidate projects can be found. Among them:

  • 7 shallow offshore Highly suitable DSF
  • 3 Shallow offshore possible DSF
  • 6 onshore Highly suitable DSF
  • 2 onshore possible DSF
  • 4 onshore depleted
  • 2 offshore depleted

Figure 115: China and India - Additional candidates for bankability 2020-2022

Following the same probabilistic approach of success as developed in section 4, these 23 candidates could bring 19 additional bankable projects, therefore reaching IEA recommendation.

Such additional projects would have the following cumulated success, and probabilistic failure cost. This gives an average success cost of 36 M€ largely below OECD one (Figure 116).

Note: the line/arrow indicates the mean value (modal value) of the distribution

Figure 116: Success and failure costs - additional candidates for bankability China and India